Lakeville, Minnesota 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Minneapolis, Airlake Airport MN
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Minneapolis, Airlake Airport MN
Issued by: National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen, MN |
Updated: 12:08 pm CDT Jul 16, 2025 |
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This Afternoon
 Chance Showers
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Tonight
 Gradual Clearing
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Thursday
 Sunny
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Thursday Night
 Mostly Clear
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Friday
 Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Showers
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Friday Night
 Chance T-storms
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Saturday
 Partly Sunny
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Saturday Night
 Partly Cloudy
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Sunday
 Partly Sunny
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Hi 70 °F |
Lo 52 °F |
Hi 72 °F |
Lo 55 °F |
Hi 75 °F |
Lo 64 °F |
Hi 79 °F |
Lo 61 °F |
Hi 78 °F |
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This Afternoon
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A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. North wind around 10 mph. |
Tonight
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Cloudy during the early evening, then gradual clearing, with a low around 52. North wind 5 to 10 mph. |
Thursday
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Sunny, with a high near 72. North wind around 5 mph. |
Thursday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 55. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm. |
Friday
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A 20 percent chance of showers after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. South wind 5 to 10 mph. |
Friday Night
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. South southeast wind around 5 mph. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Saturday
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Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming north in the afternoon. |
Saturday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. North wind around 5 mph becoming east after midnight. |
Sunday
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Partly sunny, with a high near 78. East southeast wind around 5 mph. |
Sunday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. East southeast wind around 5 mph. |
Monday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. |
Monday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. South southeast wind around 5 mph. |
Tuesday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Minneapolis, Airlake Airport MN.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
477
FXUS63 KMPX 161759
AFDMPX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1259 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Scattered showers & thunderstorms through this afternoon,
along with well-below normal temperatures.
- Seasonably cool into this weekend with thunderstorm chances
Friday night.
- Warmer & more active pattern next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 222 AM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Thunderstorms have been gradually waning in intensity & rainfall
rates overnight, diminishing the threat for any severe weather
or localized flooding. We will see scattered showers and
thunderstorms continue through the day as a surface low passes
through the area, with more widespread coverage along the low`s
track across southern Minnesota. Rainfall amounts will be
lighter today compared to yesterday with additional amounts
generally around 0.25-0.5", except across southeast Minnesota
where some enhanced thunderstorm activity this afternoon will
result in some 1-2" amounts. Temperatures will be a taste of
fall this afternoon with widespread cloud cover & periodic
precipitation keeping temperatures in the low to mid 60s this
afternoon across much of the area. Again, the exception is
across southeast Minnesota & western Wisconsin where warmest
temperatures in the 60s are expected.
Pleasant summer days are expected Thursday & Friday as cool
canadian high pressure slides over the region. Highs will be in
the low to mid 70s along with drier dewpoints, & extended-range
smoke models do not indicate any dense concentrations of
canadian wildfire smoke. Showers and thunderstorms look likely
Friday night into Saturday morning as a weak shortwave passes
over the area, but widespread strong thunderstorms or heavy rain
looks unlikely. Another region of high pressure then keeps the
weekend dry into Monday, with seasonably cool temperatures in
the upper 70s to low 80s.
Ensemble guidance continues to depict an anomalously strong
ridge developing across the central plains & mid-missisiipi
valley midweek through next weekend. We will likely miss out on
the excessive heat & humidity under the ridge, but can still
expect a return to above-normal temperatures & more humid
conditions. Our placement on the northern periphery of the ridge
places Minnesota & Wisconsin under a classic "Ring of Fire"
pattern where a few shortwaves & organized thunderstorm
complexes will will track along the periphery of the ridge.
Models are notoriously poor at resolving these subtle features
more than a day or two out, but a few chances for severe
weather & heavy rain look likely somewhere across the Upper
Midwest to end the week.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1229 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Cigs are beginning the push to MVFR, with a few 010 or less
reports remaining. Rain is quickly wrapping up to the east, with
EAU losing -RA mentions at 21Z. VFR conditions return for the
end of the period with light northerly winds leading to a
pleasant day on Thursday.
KMSP...IFR cigs will slowly transition to MVFR within the next
few hours. Current thinking is by 22Z, but it could be sooner.
No concerns with any thunder potential and rain should be over
for the period with VFR conditions returning for tomorrow.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
THU...VFR. Wind N < 5 kts.
FRI...VFR. Chc -TSRA after dark. Wind SSE 6-12 kts.
SAT...VFR. Chc -TSRA/MVFR early morning. Wind NE 5-10 kts.
&&
.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...ETA
AVIATION...PV
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